Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 397.605851 450.749381 509.438723 579.243589 660.242458 751.548834 862.658443
2026-02-01 324.255867 395.758733 481.715783 593.427208 735.882977 912.951508 1152.015558
2026-02-08 278.521032 356.288728 455.013494 590.984902 775.653044 1020.989271 1377.102811
2026-02-15 244.464915 324.687557 431.094230 584.751685 804.605645 1113.478795 1590.443062
2026-02-22 221.714319 304.147373 417.718718 588.669654 844.836790 1223.256907 1841.550487
2026-03-01 199.576900 281.390178 397.816594 579.438022 862.760167 1300.201032 2051.843301
2026-03-08 182.699289 264.069113 383.324746 575.558189 886.812078 1387.664435 2290.331872
2026-03-15 164.179213 242.339693 359.794094 554.514146 880.098429 1423.237563 2444.189568
2026-03-22 157.459454 237.754630 361.734375 573.671842 940.818364 1578.319180 2834.686474
2026-03-29 152.249665 234.907393 365.886588 596.499772 1009.977466 1756.680850 3298.978485
2026-04-05 143.363181 225.309565 358.075591 597.863141 1040.831094 1868.807994 3651.632687
2026-04-12 133.034554 212.460173 343.662464 585.991145 1045.654058 1931.633973 3912.245156
2026-04-19 123.573742 200.536455 330.161646 575.032942 1052.130994 2000.988101 4205.699072
2026-04-26 119.111258 196.791188 330.507460 589.621321 1110.095367 2183.099708 4790.437391
2026-05-03 112.470885 188.686966 322.356337 587.126514 1133.218111 2294.993886 5232.031952
2026-05-10 105.928251 180.242787 312.852294 580.949328 1147.785750 2390.033977 5651.313789
2026-05-17 101.334453 174.952229 308.682905 584.836793 1183.999620 2538.678152 6240.365095
2026-05-24 95.454592 166.870267 298.607139 575.674161 1190.487088 2619.027117 6663.146144
2026-05-31 90.709789 160.570709 291.441478 571.823183 1208.346050 2729.148524 7194.338236
2026-06-07 84.366231 150.830918 276.875545 550.935281 1184.602511 2733.057691 7416.439335
2026-06-14 82.936711 150.408267 280.646204 569.950870 1256.954912 2992.121524 8476.040945
2026-06-21 81.919530 150.701822 285.847682 592.608561 1341.069361 3296.448963 9763.937516
2026-06-28 78.805057 146.630248 281.796328 593.961732 1372.431137 3462.825767 10639.876973